460 FZPN03 KNHC 020246 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC FRI AUG 2 2024 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 2. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 3. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 4. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 17.9N 112.8W 993 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 02 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N111W TO 20N111W TO 19N114W TO 16N114W TO 15N112W TO 16N111W TO 19N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N110W TO 20N111W TO 20N115W TO 17N115W TO 15N114W TO 15N110W TO 19N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.3N 114.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N113W TO 20N115W TO 19N117W TO 16N116W TO 16N114W TO 17N113W TO 20N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N112W TO 21N115W TO 19N117W TO 15N117W TO 15N113W TO 16N112W TO 20N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.6N 116.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N115W TO 21N118W TO 19N119W TO 17N119W TO 16N117W TO 17N115W TO 20N115W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N113W TO 21N115W TO 21N119W TO 16N121W TO 13N117W TO 15N114W TO 18N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 19.1N 121.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N118W TO 20N120W TO 20N122W TO 19N123W TO 16N122W TO 16N120W TO 19N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N116W TO 23N122W TO 18N126W TO 11N120W TO 16N115W TO 21N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 12N110W TO 11N115W TO 09N115W TO 07N110W TO 08N108W TO 12N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N112W TO 13N112W TO 12N116W TO 11N116W TO 10N114W TO 10N112W TO 12N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH CARLOTTA. .18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N103W TO 09N104W TO 09N107W TO 08N106W TO 07N103W TO 08N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC FRI AUG 2... .TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. .LOW PRES NEAR 13N126.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 123W AND 132W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 11.5N106W THEN RESUMES SW OF CARLOTTA NEAR 14N114W TO LOW PRES...EP95...NEAR 13N126.5W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 13N BETWEEN 77W AND 112W...AND FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 124W AND 140W. $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.