420 
FZPN03 KNHC 012131
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU AUG 1 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG  3.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 17.5N 111.9W 993 MB AT 2100 UTC
AUG 01 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW
AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N108W TO 
20N110W TO 18N113W TO 16N113W TO 15N111W TO 16N109W TO 18N108W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.9N 113.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.2N 115.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N112W TO 21N116W TO 
19N119W TO 16N119W TO 15N114W TO 17N112W TO 20N112W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.6N 120.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N118W TO 21N120W TO 19N122W TO
16N121W TO 16N119W TO 17N117W TO 20N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N114W TO 22N117W 
TO 23N122W TO 16N126W TO 13N122W TO 14N116W TO 18N114W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N111W TO 12N112W TO 11N112W TO
11N111W TO 11N110W TO 12N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N109W TO 13N112W TO 13N113W TO
11N113W TO 10N111W TO 11N109W TO 13N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N92W TO 12N93W TO 11N93W TO 10N93W TO
10N92W TO 11N92W TO 12N92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N93W TO 12N95W TO 11N95W TO 10N95W TO
10N93W TO 12N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N93W TO 14N99W TO 09N98W TO 08N96W TO
10N95W TO 10N93W TO 12N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT
IN S TO SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC THU AUG 1...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 14N
TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 126W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 124W AND 132W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 12N100W...THEN RESUMES NEAR 
13N115W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 06N TO 13N
AND E OF 111W...AND FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 115W AND 138W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.