000
FZPN03 KNHC 010922
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU AUG 01 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 17.0N 109.9W 994 MB AT 0900 UTC 
AUG 01 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW 
AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 
NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.6N 111.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.9N 113.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.2N 118.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 240 NM 
NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 13N TO 23N BETWEEN 113W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0915 UTC AUG 01...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N108W AND OF 
19N107W. 

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W FROM 07N TO 18N WITH A 1009 MB LOW 
NEAR 14N. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 124W AND 
127W.

.NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 88W AND 93W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN
82W AND 83W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 10N92W TO 11N103W. IT 
RESUMES SOUTHWEST OF CARLOTTA NEAR 15N112W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
14N125W 1009 MB TO 12N129W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N138W 1012 MB AND 
TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF TROUGH FROM 11N TO 
15N BETWEEN 93W AND 103W AND FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 107W AND 
110W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 
114W AND 121W AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 94W AND 96W.
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 131W AND 
135W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.