000
FZPN03 KNHC 312126
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED JUL 31 2024

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 31.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG  1.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG  2.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 16.2N 108.0W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUL 31 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND
SE QUADRANTS...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 16N105W TO 17N105W TO 18N107W TO 17N109W TO 15N109W TO
15N107W TO 16N105W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 17.3N 111.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N109W TO 20N110W TO 18N113W 
TO 16N113W TO 15N111W TO 17N109W TO 19N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.7N 113.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.8N 116.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM 
SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 19N114W TO 20N117W TO 19N118W TO 17N117W TO 16N115W TO 
17N114W TO 19N114W E TO SE WINDS 60 TO 75 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N113W TO 20N114W TO 20N117W TO 18N119W 
TO 15N118W TO 14N114W TO 19N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC WED JUL 31...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG
FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 116W.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 07N TO 18N WITH AXIS NEAR 123W...SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 09N TO 17N BETWEEN 119W AND 132W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 14N104W...THEN RESUMES FROM 
14N111W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 06N TO 13N
AND E OF 109W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.