000
FZPN03 KNHC 021613
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU NOV 2 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI NOV  3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT NOV  4.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PILAR NEAR 11.9N 95.2W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV 02
MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...60 NM NW QUADRANT AND 40 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N94W TO 13N96W TO 12N96W TO 
11N95W TO 12N93W TO 13N94W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PILAR NEAR 10.5N 100.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120
NM NE QUDARANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N100W TO 
11N101W TO 11N102W TO 10N102W TO 09N100W TO 11N100W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PILAR NEAR 10.2N 106.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 10 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N106W TO 11N107W TO 
11N108W TO 10N108W TO 09N107W TO 09N106W TO 11N106W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N105W TO 
12N107W TO 10N106W TO 08N106W TO 09N104W TO 10N104W TO 13N105W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PILAR NEAR 10.9N 111.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PILAR NEAR 11.9N 114.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PILAR NEAR 13.1N 117.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 12N96W TO 13N95W
TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N94W TO 16N94W TO
16N95W TO 10N99W TO 09N99W TO 11N95W TO 13N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N89W TO 
15N93W TO 13N100W TO 07N101W TO 04N95W TO 06N88W TO 11N89W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 
16N96W TO 13N98W TO 12N102W TO 10N102W TO 12N96W TO 16N94W NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
09N97W TO 15N93W TO 15N96W TO 10N104W TO 05N104W TO 04N96W TO 
09N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16.5N95W TO 16N95.5W TO 
14.5N95.5W TO 14.5N94.5W TO 15N94.5W TO 16N94.5W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 13N97W TO 11N99W 
TO 12N96W TO 14N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N96W TO 13N98W TO 12N101W TO
10N98W TO 11N94W TO 15N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN N TO NE SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N135W TO 13N136W TO 11N140W TO
08N140W TO 09N137W TO 11N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N136W TO 12N140W TO 07N140W TO 
08N138W TO 10N136W TO 12N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC THU NOV 2...

.TROPICAL STORM PILAR...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 06N96W TO LOW PRES...INVEST EP93...NEAR
13N116W 1007 MB TO 10N121W. ITCZ FROM 10N121W TO BEYOND 07N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 01N TO 10N BETWEEN 78W 
AND 93W...FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W...AND FROM 05N 
TO 12N BETWEEN 122W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.