000
FZPN03 KNHC 020837
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU NOV 2 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 4.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PILAR NEAR 12.3N 94.1W 999 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 02
MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW
QUADRANTS...60 NM NW QUADRANT AND 40 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N92W TO 14N94W TO 11N94W TO
11N93W TO 12N92W TO 14N92W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PILAR NEAR 10.6N 99.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
120 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N98W
TO 11N100W TO 10N101W TO 09N100W TO 09N99W TO 10N98W TO 11N98W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PILAR NEAR 9.9N 105.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS
TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N104W TO 11N106W TO 09N107W TO
09N106W TO 09N105W TO 09N104W TO 11N104W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 12N102W TO 11N104W TO 
11N107W TO 08N107W TO 08N104W TO 10N103W TO 12N102W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PILAR NEAR 10.3N 110.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PILAR NEAR 11.3N 113.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PILAR NEAR 12.5N 117.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...STORM WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 15.5N95W TO 15N95.5W TO 14.5N95W 
TO 15N94.5W TO 16N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
N TO NE WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N97W TO 12N97W TO 12N95W TO 14N94W TO 
16N94W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA .WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N98W TO 07N99W TO 07N98W TO 
10N95W TO 16N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
ALSO...EXCEPT AS NOTED WITH PILAR WITHIN 11N89W TO 15N93W TO 
15N97W TO 13N100W TO 06N98W TO 06N93W TO 11N89W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS BELOW STORM FORCE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
14N94W TO 16N93W TO 16N95W TO 12N101W TO 11N98W TO 11N96W TO 
14N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA...EXCEPT AS NOTED WITH PILAR WITHIN 11N97W TO 15N97W TO 
10N104W TO 05N103W TO 04N96W TO 06N93W TO 11N97W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W
TO 14N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 13N99W TO 12N99W TO 12N97W
TO 13N95W TO 15N93W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N93W TO 12N102W TO 11N102W TO 10N98W
TO 11N95W TO 15N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N
TO NE SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N134W TO 10N137W TO 10N138W TO
08N138W TO 08N136W TO 10N133W TO 11N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N135W TO 11N137W TO 12N140W TO 
08N140W TO 08N139W TO 10N135W TO 11N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0620 UTC THU NOV 2...

.TROPICAL STORM PILAR...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM W QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM SW OF PILAR NEAR 10N98W TO LOW PRES...INVEST
EP93...NEAR 12.5N116W TO 09N121W. ITCZ FROM 09N121W TO BEYOND 
06N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 01N TO 09N 
BETWEEN 77W AND 81W...FROM 04N TO 11N BETWEEN 80W AND 90W...FROM
11N TO 15N BETWEEN 113W AND 117W...FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W 
AND 123W...AND FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN 131W AND 137W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.