000
FZPN03 KNHC 102144
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE OCT 10 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 19.6N 106.6W 950 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 10 
MOVING ENE OR 070 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT...240 NM SE AND NW QUADRANT AND 300 NM SW QUADRANT OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. FROM 10N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 104W AND 107W AND FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 107W AND 114W 
SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL LIDIA WELL INLAND MEXICO NEAR 
23.2N 100.6W AND TO DISSIPATE BY 36 HOURS. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 99W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN W TO NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 114W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 29115W TO 26N135W. FROM 24N TO 
30N E OF 118W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 28N112W TO 25N132W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 27N112W TO 24N132W.
.30 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 27N112W TO 24N130W. N OF 29N 
BETWEEN 117W AND 124W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
N OF A LINE FROM 29N124W TO 28N132W TO 30N137W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N BETWEEN 116W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL..EXCEPT 10 TO 12 FT N OF 29N 
BETWEEN 118W AND 123W.

.06 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 95W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 02S81W TO 03N100W TO 01S100W TO 
02S120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N BETWEEN 80W AND 90W AND S OF 07N 
BETWEEN 90W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2130 UTC TUE OCT 10...

.HURRICANE LIDIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE.
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 
105W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 11N91W TO 
16N100W. IT RESUMES AT 13N115W TO 10N124W TO 08N128W. THE ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 08N128W TO 09N135W TO 09N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 81W AND 87W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE S OF THE TROUGH FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 92W AND 99W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.