000
FZPN03 KNHC 081543
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN OCT 8 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 8.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT  9.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 16.9N 112.8W 990 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 
08 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE 
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...90 NM NW QUADRANT AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N110W TO 19N112W TO 17N115W TO 12N113W
TO 13N110W TO 15N109W TO 19N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N111W TO 19N117W TO 16N118W TO 
10N115W TO 09N111W TO 13N105W TO 21N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 18.3N 112.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N109W TO 
21N112W TO 20N114W TO 18N115W TO 16N113W TO 17N109W TO 19N109W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
23N111W TO 21N115W TO 16N117W TO 11N113W TO 12N108W TO 15N106W TO
23N111W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 
SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 19.0N 110.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 19.9N 108.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N105W TO 22N106W TO 21N111W TO 19N113W TO 
17N112W TO 15N105W TO 20N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA WITHIN 23N106W TO 23N111W TO 20N114W TO 16N115W TO 10N111W 
TO 15N103W TO 23N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LIDIA INLAND NEAR 23.0N
103.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.0N 101.1W 1006 MB
AT 1500 UTC OCT 08 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 16N98W TO 17N101W TO 
17N102W TO 15N102W TO 13N99W TO 14N98W TO 16N98W WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E TROPICAL CYCLONE NEAR
15.5N 101.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E NEAR 16.2N 101.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N100W TO 18N102W TO 18N103W TO 16N103W TO 
15N102W TO 15N101W TO 17N100W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N100W TO 15N101W TO 16N103W TO 
15N103W TO 13N101W TO 14N98W TO 17N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E INLAND NEAR 
18.0N 101.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 
18N102W TO 18N103W TO 17N103W TO 17N102W TO 17N101W TO 18N102W W 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N99W TO 
17N100W TO 17N102W TO 16N102W TO 15N100W TO 16N99W TO 17N99W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 14N126W TO 16N131W TO 14N133W TO 08N129W TO 08N124W TO
11N123W TO 14N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N132W TO 13N139W TO 11N140W TO
09N135W TO 10N132W TO 13N132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC SUN OCT 8...

.TROPICAL STORM LIDIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG
FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W.

.PTC SIXTEEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG FROM 12N 
TO 18N BETWEEN 98W AND 107W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 16N103W. MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES W 
OF LIDIA NEAR 12N120W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG  
FROM 08N TO 19N BETWEEN 86W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
06N TO 13N AND E OF 96W...AND FROM 07N TO 14N AND W OF 121W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.