603 
FZPN03 KNHC 080416
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN OCT 8 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 8.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT  9.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 16.1N 112.6W 990 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 
08 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE 
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N108W 
TO 20N112W TO 19N117W TO 16N118W TO 13N116W TO 13N111W TO 19N108W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
12N98W TO 18N107W TO 12N116W TO 08N114W TO 03N105W TO 12N98W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 17.6N 112.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 105 NM NW QUADARNT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N109W TO 21N115W TO 16N117W TO 15N112W TO 
17N108W TO 22N109W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N106W TO 
20N107W TO 15N111W TO 15N116W TO 10N115W TO 09N109W TO 
15N106W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 18.9N 110.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...150 
NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 105 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N107W TO 22N109W TO 23N113W TO 
17N116W TO 16N113W TO 17N108W TO 20N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA WITHIN 15N104W TO 18N107W TO 16N109W TO 15N115W TO 10N112W 
TO 12N105W TO 15N104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 21.1N 105.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL LIDIA NEAR 24.0N 101.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN-E NEAR 13.9N 100.1W 1007 MB 
AT 0300 UTC OCT 08 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N97W TO 
16N100W TO 15N100W TO 14N98W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.6N 101.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM W SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 17N100W TO 17N102W TO 16N103W TO 13N102W TO 13N100W TO 
14N99W TO 17N100W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E NEAR 17.3N 101.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N99W TO 18N103W TO 15N103W TO 14N101W TO 
14N99W TO 16N99W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E INLAND NEAR 
18.5N 101.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 14N126W TO 20N140W TO 15N140W TO 11N134W TO 09N130W TO
11N126W TO 14N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N135W TO 15N137W TO 14N140W TO 
10N140W TO 10N137W TO 12N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 11N95W TO 03N101W TO 01N105W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S97W TO
11N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC SUN OCT 8...

T.S. LIDIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 13N TO 18N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 114W.

P.T.C. SIXTEEN E...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 11N 
TO 17N BETWEEN 97W AND 104W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 13N88W TO 16N103W THEN FROM 12N115W TO LOW 
PRES NEAR 11N126W 1010 MB TO 10N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED
STRONG FROM 09N TO 18N BETWEEN 88W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W AND 140W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.