000
FZPN03 KNHC 072136
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT OCT 7 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 7.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT  8.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT  9.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 16.1N 112.5W 995 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
07 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N110W TO 19N112W TO 18N115W TO 
16N116W TO 13N113W TO 14N110W TO 17N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N108W TO 20N114W 
TO 19N116W TO 14N117W TO 10N112W TO 12N105W TO 18N108W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 17.4N 112.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
18N110W TO 20N113W TO 19N115W TO 16N116W TO 14N113W TO 15N110W 
TO 18N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 33 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 17N107W TO 21N111W TO 20N117W TO 16N118W TO 11N116W TO 
10N109W TO 17N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 18.8N 111.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
21N110W TO 20N112W TO 18N114W TO 16N113W TO 16N110W TO 18N108W 
TO 21N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA WITHIN 21N107W TO 23N110W TO 20N115W TO 16N116W TO 11N113W 
TO 14N106W TO 21N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND 
WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 20.3N 107.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 22.9N 103.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N99W 1007 MB. WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 16N98W 
TO 15N100W TO 14N98W TO 14N95W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N101W 1006 MB. WITHIN 16N99W TO 17N101W TO 15N102W TO 15N101W
TO 14N101W TO 15N99W TO 16N99W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
16N101W 1005 MB. WITHIN 17N100W TO 17N101W TO 17N102W TO
15N102W TO 16N101W TO 17N100W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.WITHIN 15N131W TO 19N136W TO 17N139W TO 11N131W TO 11N128W TO
14N127W TO 15N131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 04N95W TO 07N98W TO 03S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N106W TO
03.4S103W TO 04N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S112W TO 00N113W TO 01S117W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S113W TO 01S112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN SE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 FT IN SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2130 UTC SAT OCT 7...

.TROPICAL STORM LIDIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG 
FROM 11N TO 19N BETWEEN 110W AND 116W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 13N88W TO A LOW PRES NEAR 14N99W
1007 MB TO 16N104W. MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES W OF LIDIA NEAR 
12N117W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG  
FROM 07N TO 17N E OF 90W AND BETWEEN 95W AND 107W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 115W AND 138W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.