000
FZPN03 KNHC 071616
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT OCT 7 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 7.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT  8.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT  9.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 16.2N 112.2W 995 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
07 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 18N110W TO 19N112W TO 18N115W TO 14N115W TO 14N114W TO
14N111W TO 18N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N103W TO 20N111W TO 19N116W TO 16N116W 
TO 08N111W TO 09N104W TO 13N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 17.1N 112.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N110W TO 
19N113W TO 18N116W TO 16N116W TO 13N113W TO 13N111W TO 18N110W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
21N111W TO 21N115W TO 16N118W TO 10N115W TO 09N112W TO 13N105W 
TO 21N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 18.6N 112.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N109W TO 21N111W TO 20N114W TO
19N115W TO 15N114W TO 15N110W TO 19N109W WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N111W TO 22N114W 
TO 15N117W TO 11N113W TO 12N107W TO 15N106W TO 22N111W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 19.8N 109.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 21.6N 105.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LIDIA NEAR 23.9N
102.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N99W 1007 MB. WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N97W TO 16N98W 
TO 15N99W TO 14N98W TO 14N95W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 15N101W 
1006 MB. WITHIN 15N97W TO 17N100W TO 17N101W TO 15N101W
TO 14N99W TO 14N98W TO 15N97W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 9 FT. WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 15N95W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 17N101W 
1005 MB. WITHIN 16N98W TO 17N101W TO 16N102W TO 15N100W
TO 15N98W TO 16N98W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.WITHIN 15N125W TO 20N137W TO 18N138W TO 12N132W TO 12N126W TO
15N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 04N93W TO 07N96W TO 01S106W TO 03.4S100W TO 00N100W TO
04N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S112W TO 00N115W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S111W TO 01S112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC SAT OCT 7...

.TROPICAL STORM LIDIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED 
STRONG FROM 12N TO 21N BETWEEN 110W AND 116W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 14N90W TO A LOW PRES NEAR 14N98W 1007 MB TO
16N103W. MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES W OF LIDIA NEAR 12N117W TO 
BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N 
TO 18N BETWEEN 96W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 118W AND 136W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.