000
FZPN03 KNHC 062201
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI OCT 6 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 6.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT  7.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT  8.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 16.4N 111.2W 991 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
06 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 18N109W TO 19N110W TO 18N113W TO 16N113W TO 15N112W TO
15N109W TO 18N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 20N109W TO 20N112W TO 18N114W TO 12N112W TO 10N110W 
TO 12N106W TO 20N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 16.4N 112.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 16.6N 112.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 17N110W TO 19N112W TO 19N114W TO 17N116W TO 15N115W TO 
14N112W TO 17N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 19N109W TO 21N113W TO 19N117W TO 15N117W TO 
10N112W TO 11N106W TO 19N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 17.6N 113.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 19N112W TO 19N116W TO 17N116W TO 16N114W TO 16N113W TO 
17N111W TO 19N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 17N107W TO 22N111W TO 21N117W TO 15N119W TO 
10N114W TO 12N108W TO 17N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 18.7N 112.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 19.8N 109.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 21.5N 107.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N126W TO 15N128W TO 14N130W TO
13N131W TO 11N129W TO 12N128W TO 14N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N99W 1008 MB. WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N98W TO 15N98W TO 14N96W TO
15N95W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15.5N100W 1006 MB. WITHIN 17N99W TO 18N102W TO 16N102W TO 14N100W
TO 15N98W TO 17N99W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2130 UTC FRI OCT 6...

.TROPICAL STORM LIDIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED 
STRONG WITHIN 200 NM OF THE CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 14N91W TO A 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 13N96W TO 
15N104W...THEN RESUMES W OF LIDIA NEAR 14N114W TO BEYOND 10N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W 
AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 11N AND W OF 121W. 

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.