000
FZPN03 KNHC 061605
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI OCT 6 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 6.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT  7.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT  8.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 16.5N 110.3W 991 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
06 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE
QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N108W TO 18N112W TO 15N113W TO 
15N110W TO 16N108W TO 18N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N109W TO 19N113W TO 13N115W TO 09N120W 
TO 08N109W TO 12N104W TO 19N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 16.6N 111.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LIDIA NEAR 16.8N 112.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...70 NM NW QUADRANT AND 50 NM
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 N SEMICIRCLE AND 
90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N111W 
TO 18N116W TO 16N115W TO 14N114W TO 14N111W TO 17N110W TO 20N111W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
20N108W TO 21N112W TO 18N117W TO 15N117W TO 08N111W TO 11N103W 
TO 20N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 17.5N 113.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 20N112W TO 19N117W TO 15N117W TO 13N113W TO 15N111W TO 
20N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 16N108W TO 22N111W TO 22N115W TO 18N119W TO 10N114W TO 
12N108W TO 16N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 18.8N 112.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 19.5N 110.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LIDIA NEAR 21.0N 108.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN LOW PRES NEAR 13N96W MB 1008 MB. 11N99W TO 12N100W TO 
12N101W TO 11N102W TO 09N100W TO 09N99W TO 11N99W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13.5N98.5W 1007 MB. WITHIN 16N97W TO 16N98W TO 15N98W TO 14N97W 
TO 16N97W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N101W 1006 MB. WITHIN 16N98W TO 18N101W TO 14N102W TO 11N100W
TO 12N98W TO 16N98W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.WITHIN 16N125W TO 16N128W TO 16N129W TO 14N130W TO 13N128W TO
14N125W TO 16N125W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N126W TO 15N127W TO 15N128W TO
14N131W TO 12N130W TO 12N128W TO 14N126W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 04N92W TO 06N96W TO 00N102W TO 03.4S115W TO 03.4S93W TO
04N92W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S104W TO 02S112W TO 03.4S116W TO
03.4S100W TO 02S104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 FT IN SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC FRI OCT 6...

.TROPICAL STORM LIDIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 200 NM OF THE CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 13N88W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 13N96W 1008 MB TO 
15N103W...THEN RESUMES W OF LIDIA NEAR 13N114W TO BEYOND 10N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN 
93W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 15N AND W OF 115W. 

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.