000 FZPN03 KNHC 172127 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC THU AUG 17 2023 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 17. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 18. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 19. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 16.1N 108.9W 960 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 17 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT... 330 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM E AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 06N TO 23N BETWEEN 98W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 18.4N 112.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 250 NM NE QUADRANT...220 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 170 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM E AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 44 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM E AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W...INCLUDING THE WATERS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...BETWEEN LAS MARIA ISLANDS AND LOS CABOS...AND THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 07N TO 25N BETWEEN 99W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 22.4N 113.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 250 NM NE QUADRANT...220 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN WITHIN 420 NM E SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 26N BETWEEN 106W AND 118W...INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA... WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 07N TO 28N E OF 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 28.5N 115.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILARY INLAND NEAR 35.4N 118.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HILARY WELL N OF AREA NEAR 43.0N 120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .LOW PRES...REMNANT LOW OF FERNANDA...NEAR 16N133W 1005 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 12N TO 21N BETWEEN 127W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 16N138W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .42 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES W OF AREA NEAR 16N142W 1008 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 16N TO 20N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 16N TO 18N W OF 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN DECAYING MIXED SWELL. .WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11N86W TO 10N89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .42 HOUR WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 2115 UTC THU AUG 17... .HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. NUMEROUS ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AN OUTER RAIN BAND THAT EXTENDS FROM 20N110W TO 15N113W. .TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W/94W N OF 03N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM W OF WAVE FROM 06N TO 12N. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 08N90W TO 10N97W. IT RESUMES WSW OF HURRICANE HILARY FROM NEAR 12N113W TO 10N125W AND TO 07N135W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 85W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 114W AND 118W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 124W NM AND 135W. $$ .FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.