000 FZPN03 KNHC 162146 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC WED AUG 16 2023 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 16. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 17. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 18. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 13.7N 103.7W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 16 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...105 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N97W TO 18N103W TO 15N106W TO 04N104W TO 08N97W TO 16N97W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 15.6N 107.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM SE QUADRANT...280 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SW QUADRANT...180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N102W TO 21N108W TO 17N112W TO 07N111W TO 06N108W TO 10N103W TO 18N102W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N98W TO 16N98W TO 18N102W TO 10N103W TO 06N106W TO 08N101W TO 14N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 18.2N 111.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...220 NM SE QUADRANT...140 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 170 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 390 NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM NE QUADRANT...310 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 46 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N104W TO 23N110W TO 20N115W TO 08N115W TO 09N109W TO 13N105W TO 18N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N100W TO 25N108W TO 24N116W TO 18N119W TO 07N115W TO 06N109W TO 17N100W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 22.3N 113.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 27.8N 115.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HILARY NEAR 34.3N 118.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 16.8N 127.8W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 16 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 105 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N127W TO 21N130W TO 19N131W TO 17N130W TO 15N126W TO 17N125W TO 20N127W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N123W TO 22N129W TO 16N133W TO 14N132W TO 12N126W TO 14N123W TO 21N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL FERNANDA NEAR 16.6N 130.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 16.6N 132.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N132W TO 19N135W TO 17N136W TO 16N135W TO 15N132W TO 17N131W TO 19N132W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N128W TO 21N134W TO 15N135W TO 14N134W TO 16N132W TO 14N130W TO 20N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 16.7N 138.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 19N137W TO 19N139W TO 18N140W TO 17N139W TO 17N138W TO 17N137W TO 19N137W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N135W TO 19N135W TO 20N137W TO 20N140W TO 17N140W TO 15N138W TO 18N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 16.7N 140.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 10N86W TO 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N88W TO 09N88W TO 09N88W TO 10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC WED AUG 16... .TS HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 06N TO 17N BETWEEN 98W AND 111W. .TS FERNANDA...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 128W AND 131W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 10N94W...THEN FROM 10N109W TO 11N124W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N130W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 79W AND 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 112W AND 126W. $$ .FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.