651 FZPN03 KNHC 161609 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC WED AUG 16 2023 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 16. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 17. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 18. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 12.4N 102.6W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 16 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N96W TO 18N102W TO 09N104W TO 05N107W TO 04N104W TO 08N96W TO 16N96W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 14.1N 106.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM NW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N102W TO 20N106W TO 15N110W TO 06N108W TO 07N103W TO 10N101W TO 18N102W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N97W TO 18N102W TO 10N101W TO 05N106W TO 07N100W TO 10N98W TO 15N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 16.7N 110.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...220 NM SE QUADRANT...140 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 170 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM NW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N103W TO 22N110W TO 17N115W TO 08N113W TO 09N107W TO 13N103W TO 18N103W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N99W TO 23N106W TO 20N115W TO 08N115W TO 06N111W TO 09N103W TO 16N99W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 20.4N 113.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 25.7N 114.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HILARY NEAR 31.5N 116.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.1N 126.8W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 16 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N125W TO 21N128W TO 20N130W TO 16N128W TO 15N125W TO 16N124W TO 20N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N121W TO 22N126W TO 19N131W TO 15N131W TO 12N124W TO 15N122W TO 21N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERNANDA NEAR 16.9N 131.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 105 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM NW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N129W TO 20N131W TO 20N132W TO 18N135W TO 16N134W TO 16N130W TO 18N129W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N128W TO 19N131W TO 21N134W TO 16N135W TO 12N131W TO 14N128W TO 20N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 16.9N 134.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 17.0N 136.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N135W TO 19N136W TO 19N138W TO 18N139W TO 15N137W TO 16N136W TO 18N135W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N134W TO 22N136W TO 21N137W TO 21N138W TO 19N139W TO 19N135W TO 21N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 17.0N 142.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC WED AUG 16... .TS HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 18N BETWEEN 99W AND 108W. .TS FERNANDA...ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 125W AND 128W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N81W TO 12101W TO 13N120W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N133W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 01N TO 08N BETWEEN 79W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 109W AND 129W. $$ .FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.