000 FZPN03 KNHC 151602 AAA HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC TUE AUG 15 2023 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 17. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 17.0N 121.8W 967 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 15 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N119W TO 21N121W TO 20N124W TO 16N123W TO 16N120W TO 18N119W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N117W TO 21N120W TO 19N124W TO 15N126W TO 10N124W TO 11N118W TO 17N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 17.5N 126.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N125W TO 21N126W TO 21N129W TO 19N129W TO 16N127W TO 17N125W TO 19N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N122W TO 22N127W TO 19N131W TO 15N130W TO 14N124W TO 15N123W TO 22N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.6N 128.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.8N 131.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N130W TO 21N134W TO 19N134W TO 17N133W TO 17N131W TO 19N130W TO 20N130W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N128W TO 23N132W TO 19N135W TO 16N134W TO 14N130W TO 15N129W TO 20N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL FERNANDA NEAR 18.0N 134.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 18.1N 137.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 18.3N 143.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 18.2N 149.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...GALE WARNING... .LOW PRES NEAR 9.9N97.7W 1007 MB. WITHIN 12N91W TO 16N95W TO 13N99W TO 09N97W TO 04N99W TO 04N95W TO 12N91W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 12N102W 1005 MB. WITHIN 13N99W TO 14N100W TO 13N101W TO 11N101W TO 11N99W TO 13N99W WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N103W TO 10N103W TO 05N107W TO 04N102W TO 07N95W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14N107W 1003 MB. WITHIN 17N104W TO 17N107W TO 16N108W TO 13N107W TO 12N105W TO 14N103W TO 17N104W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N95W TO 20N106W TO 13N104W TO 14N108W TO 06N109W TO 07N98W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 11N88W TO 10N89W TO 09N88W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC TUE AUG 15... .HURCN FERNANDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 100 NM IN THE CENTER. .LOW PRES NEAR 9.9N97.7W (EP90)...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 103W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 10N110W...THEN FROM 12N124W TO 10N133W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N133W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 21N BETWEEN 104W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 04N TO 13N BETWEEN 118W AND 136W. $$ .FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.