000
FZPN03 KNHC 140443 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON AUG 14 2023

CORRECTED WARNINGS UNDER TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E 

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 15.6N 117.2W 975 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 14 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 16.3N 119.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 
120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 117W AND 125W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 17.2N 123.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM 
NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSWHERE WITHIN 
210 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER OF FERNANDA...EXCEPT 
150 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 120W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 17.4N 129.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 17.7N 134.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE 
TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY 
IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 18.0N 
140.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E NEAR 11.4N 138.6W 1007 MB AT 0300 
UTC AUG 14 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NW QUADRANTS 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT-E NEAR 11.5N 140.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 
NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT-E W OF AREA NEAR 11.6N 
142.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WIND 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT-E WELL W OF AREA NEAR 
12.4N 147.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE 
QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT-E NEAR 13.6N 152.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT-E NEAR 13.6N 157.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT-E NEAR 12.9N 162.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N97W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS TO MERGE WITH THOSE DESCRIBED 
BELOW.

.42 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N96W 1006 MB. FROM 11N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 91W AND 95W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N97W 1004 MB. FROM 11N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 91W AND 96W AND FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 96W AND 98W 
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0315 UTC MON AUG 14...

.HURRICANE FERNANDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
NE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 14N118W TO 15N119W.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
60 NM OF 13N137W.

.AREA OF NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 
92W AND 100W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 08N91W TO 08N100W TO 
09N110W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N119W TO 11N135W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 78W AND 83W 
...BETWEEN 89W AND 94W AND FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 106W AND 110W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.