000
FZPN03 KNHC 040345
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI AUG 4 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 4.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG  5.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG  6.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DORA NEAR 14.1N 123.4W 950 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 04 
MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT 
GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N122W TO 16N123W 
TO 16N124W TO 14N124W TO 14N123W TO 14N122W TO 15N122W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N119W TO 
19N121W TO 19N124W TO 17N125W TO 13N125W TO 12N120W TO 17N119W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 13.6N 128.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 16N128W TO 17N129W TO 14N131W TO 13N130W TO 13N128W TO 
14N128W TO 16N128W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 18N124W TO 19N126W TO 18N130W TO 13N131W TO 
11N128W TO 11N126W TO 18N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 13.0N 135.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 
NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N135W TO 16N137W TO 14N137W TO 
13N136W TO 12N135W TO 13N134W TO 16N135W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
12 TO 16 FT. WITHIN 24N130W TO 22N137W TO 15N138W TO 11N136W TO 
11N131W TO 15N130W TO 24N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN PRIMARILY SE SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 12.6N 141.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 12.4N 149.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 12.7N 157.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 29N115W TO 30N117W TO 29N118W TO 28N117W TO 29N117W TO
29N115W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 29N116W TO 
30N116W TO 29N117W TO 29N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
NW SWELL. WITHIN 30N118.5W TO 30N120.5W TO 29.5N120W TO 
29.5N119.5W TO 29.5N119W TO 30N118.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N118W TO 30N122W TO 27N121W TO 
26N122W TO 25N116W TO 27N115W TO 29N118W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM
OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 24N120W TO 30N120W TO 24N127W TO 
24N130W TO 15N130W TO 19N123W TO 24N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.WITHIN 03N115W TO 07N117W TO 09N124W TO 00N135W TO 01N117W TO
03.4S99W TO 03N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S107W TO 01S114W TO 00N115W TO 
00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S106W TO 02S107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. WITHIN 11N122W TO 11N126W TO 07N132W
TO 05N130W TO 07N126W TO 07N121W TO 11N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 15N137W TO 15N138W TO 15N140W TO 13N140W TO 13N139W TO
14N139W TO 15N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N139W TO 14N140W TO 13N140W TO 
13N139W TO 14N139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS TO SHIFT W OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 16N104W 1007 MB. WITHIN 18N103W 
TO 18N104W TO 17N104W TO 17N102W TO 18N103W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
19N107.5W 1004 MB. WITHIN 21N106W TO 20N107W TO 19N107W TO
19N106W TO 20N106W TO 21N106W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES... SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN SE
SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N105W TO 19N107W TO 20N107W TO 19N109W
TO 18N108W TO 19N105W TO 20N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC FRI AUG 4...

.HURCN DORA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10.5N71.5W TO 09N76W TO 
DEVELOPING LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N102W 1009 MB, TO 10.5N117W. THE 
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10.5N117W TO 08.5N127W TO 11.5N137W. WIDELY 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 03N TO 07.5W E OF 
88W. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
FROM 08N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 106W AND 118W..AND FROM 05N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 107W AND 136W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.