000
FZPN03 KNHC 020914
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED AUG 2 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG  3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG  4.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DORA NEAR 15.8N 112.6W 985 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 02
MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 20 FT. WITHIN 18N110W TO 19N112W TO 18N113W TO 16N113W 
TO 14N112W TO 16N110W TO 18N110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 15.4N 117.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 60 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N115W TO 
19N117W TO 17N120W TO 15N119W TO 14N118W TO 14N116W TO 18N115W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 14.4N 123.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N120W TO 19N122W TO 17N126W TO 15N126W
TO 13N124W TO 13N121W TO 18N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 13.5N 130.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 12.9N 136.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 12.7N 142.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 05N117W TO 02N127W TO 00N129W TO 00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S108W TO 05N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N115W TO 06N122W TO 00N135W TO
00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S103W TO 00N115W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01N106W TO 06N121W TO 00N137W TO
00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S100W TO 01N106W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N97W TO 15N98W TO 14N98W TO 14N97W TO
14N96W TO 16N97W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N99W TO 17N100W TO 17N102W TO 16N102W
TO 15N101W TO 15N99W TO 16N99W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO
9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC WED AUG 2...

HURRICANE DORA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120
NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 45 NM NE SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR
09N84W TO 11N90W TO 06N125W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N133W TO 
BEYOND 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 14N 
TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 98W AND 102W. 

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.