000
FZPN03 KNHC 012156
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE AUG 1 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG  3.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 16.1N 110.1W 998 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 01
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 17N109W TO 17N110W TO 16N110W TO 16N109W TO 16N108W TO 
17N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 18N108W TO 17N109W TO 17N108W TO 16N109W TO 16N108W TO 
17N107W TO 18N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 16.1N 112.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 15.9N 115.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 17N114W TO 17N115W TO 16N116W TO 15N116W TO 15N114W TO 
17N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 18N113W TO 19N114W TO 17N116W TO 17N114W TO 15N115W TO 
15N113W TO 18N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 15.0N 121.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 
60 NM NW QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N120W TO 16N121W TO 16N122W TO 
15N123W TO 14N121W TO 14N120W TO 16N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N117W TO 19N119W TO 
16N122W TO 16N120W TO 14N122W TO 12N119W TO 17N117W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 13.9N 127.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 13.2N 133.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 12.5N 139.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
15N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N96W TO 15N96W TO 04N123W TO 00N128W
TO 02N119W TO 03.4S112W TO 14N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N119W TO 05N126W TO 01N130W TO 
00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S105W TO 00N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N98W TO 14N98W TO
13N97W TO 13N96W TO 15N95W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N96W TO 16N97W TO 16N98W TO 14N99W TO
14N98W TO 14N97W TO 15N96W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2130 UTC TUE AUG 1...

.TROPICAL STORM DORA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 08N109W TO 07N132W. ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 07N132W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 13N BETWEEN 84W AND 111W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 03N TO 11N BETWEEN 117W AND 127W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.