000
FZPN03 KNHC 011607
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE AUG 1 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG  3.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 16.1N 108.6W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
01 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
17N106W TO 18N107W TO 18N108W TO 16N109W TO 16N107W TO 16N106W 
TO 17N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 16.2N 110.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 16.0N 113.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 18N112W TO 18N113W TO 17N115W TO 15N114W TO 15N112W TO 
16N111W TO 18N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 15.0N 119.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N117W TO 17N119W TO 16N121W TO 
14N120W TO 14N119W TO 15N117W TO 17N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N117W TO 17N121W TO 
16N118W TO 13N119W TO 13N118W TO 16N116W TO 18N117W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 13.9N 125.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 13.1N 131.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 12.5N 137.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N118W TO 03N133W TO 00N140W TO
03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 03.4S108W TO 04N118W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 06N121W TO 04N138W TO 00N140W TO 
03.4S120W TO 00N120W TO 03.4S99W TO 06N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC TUE AUG 1...

.TROPICAL STORM DORA...SCATTERED MODERATE NOTED 150 NM OF 
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 09N109W TO 07N133W. ITCZ 
EXTENDS FROM 07N133W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 83W AND 109W. SCATTERD 
MODERATE FROM 02N TO 10N BETWEEM 114W AND 124W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.