000
FZPN03 KNHC 160901
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN JUL 16 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CALVIN NEAR 15.7N 133.4W 982 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 16 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N130W TO 19N133W TO 17N135W TO
15N134W TO 14N131W TO 15N130W TO 18N130W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N127W TO 22N131W TO 
21N136W TO 10N137W TO 09N135W TO 14N128W TO 19N127W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CALVIN NEAR 16.2N 135.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CALVIN NEAR 16.7N 139.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N137W TO 
19N138W TO 19N140W TO 16N140W TO 16N138W TO 16N137W TO 18N137W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
20N134W TO 23N136W TO 24N140W TO 12N140W TO 14N136W TO 18N134W TO
20N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CALVIN NEAR 17.6N 146.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CALVIN NEAR 18.6N 153.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CALVIN NEAR 19.9N 160.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CALVIN NEAR 20.3N
166.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N89W TO 13N91W TO 13N92W TO 11N91W TO 10N88W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 10N90W TO 09N89W TO
10N88W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 13N88W TO 11N89W TO 09N89W TO
09N87W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 15N95W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC SUN JUL 16...

.HURCN CALVIN...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 140 NM OF
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 10N127W. ITCZ FROM 08N136W TO 
BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 15N BETWEEN 92W 
AND 121W. 

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.