000
FZPN03 KNHC 140328
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI JUL 14 2023

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CALVIN NEAR 13.3N 120.5W 978 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 14
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...90
NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N117W TO 16N120W TO 14N121W TO 
13N121W TO 11N120W TO 12N117W TO 15N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N116W TO 18N118W TO 
15N122W TO 11N121W TO 10N119W TO 12N115W TO 18N116W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CALVIN NEAR 14.3N 125.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N123W TO 17N126W 
TO 14N127W TO 12N125W TO 13N123W TO 14N122W TO 17N123W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N121W TO 
20N125W TO 16N128W TO 12N128W TO 09N124W TO 12N121W TO 18N121W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CALVIN NEAR 15.5N 131.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N129W 
TO 19N132W TO 17N133W TO 14N132W TO 14N130W TO 15N129W TO 
18N129W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 18N125W TO 21N128W TO 19N134W TO 14N135W TO 10N132W TO 
12N126W TO 18N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CALVIN NEAR 16.7N 137.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CALVIN NEAR 17.7N 144.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CALVIN NEAR 18.6N 151.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 12N88W TO 11N88W TO
10N88W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC FRI JUL 14...

.HURCN CALVIN...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 09N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 117W AND 123W. 

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W AND N OF 06N. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
11N TO 17N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 04N104W. ITCZ FROM 04N104W TO 
08N115W...THEN RESUMES FROM 10N126W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 04N TO 15N AND E OF 104W...AND FROM 05N 
TO 20N AND W OF 128W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.