585 FZPN03 KNHC 290420 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC THU JUN 29 2023 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU JUN 29. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUN 30. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 1. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE ADRIAN NEAR 15.4N 109.0W 986 MB AT 0300 UTC JUN 29 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N107W TO 17N111W TO 14N111W TO 11N113W TO 12N108W TO 14N106W TO 17N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN S SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N104W TO 20N106W TO 20N109W TO 18N113W TO 11N112W TO 12N107W TO 17N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ADRIAN NEAR 15.8N 111.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N107W TO 19N111W TO 19N114W TO 15N115W TO 11N114W TO 12N109W TO 17N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N106W TO 21N109W TO 20N116W TO 16N117W TO 11N113W TO 12N109W TO 18N106W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ADRIAN NEAR 16.4N 114.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N112W TO 19N117W TO 17N117W TO 14N114W TO 11N114W TO 11N111W TO 18N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT IN SE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N111W TO 21N116W TO 17N119W TO 10N116W TO 10N111W TO 15N107W TO 21N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN NEAR 16.8N 115.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN NEAR 17.1N 116.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ADRIAN NEAR 17.3N 116.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ADRIAN NEAR 17.3N 117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO-E NEAR 13.5N 96.8W 1007 MB AT 0300 UTC JUN 29 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 15N96W TO 15N97W TO 14N98W TO 14N96W TO 13N94W TO 14N95W TO 15N96W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT WITH S SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N94W TO 15N96W TO 15N97W TO 14N96W TO 13N95W TO 13N94W TO 14N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWO-E NEAR 15.4N 100.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N98W TO 16N100W TO 16N101W TO 15N100W TO 14N100W TO 14N99W TO 16N98W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E TO SE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N98W TO 16N99W TO 16N101W TO 15N101W TO 14N101W TO 14N99W TO 16N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWO-E NEAR 17.9N 103.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N103W TO 18N104W TO 19N104W TO 17N105W TO 16N104W TO 17N103W TO 18N103W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N102W TO 19N104W TO 17N106W TO 14N104W TO 14N101W TO 16N100W TO 18N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E TO SE SWELL. .60 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWO-E NEAR 19.3N 105.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWO-E NEAR 20.6N 107.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWO-E NEAR 22.2N 110.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E NEAR 22.5N 112.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 11N140W TO 13N140W TO 09N140W TO 09N139W TO 10N139W TO 11N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL. WITHIN 06N124W TO 06N125W TO 06N127W TO 05N128W TO 05N126W TO 05N125W TO 06N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL. .18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .39 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02.5S108.5W TO 03S111W TO 02.5S114W TO 03.4S114.5W TO 03.4S107W TO 02.5S108.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S108W TO 01S110W TO 02S111W TO 01S113W TO 03S115W TO 03.4S96W TO 02S108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0250 UTC THU JUN 29... .HURRICANE ADRIAN...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S OF CENTER...ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10.5N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 104W AND 112W. .POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO-E...SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 09N BETWEEN 94W AND 99W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N72W TO 08N79W TO 1007 MB LOW PRES NEAR 13N96.5W...THEN RESUMES W OF ADRIAN NEAR 14.5N113.5W TO 07N131W. ITCZ FROM 07N131W TO BEYOND 05N140W. ASIDE FOR THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE ADRIAN...SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION N OF 09N BETWEEN 94W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE COASTLINES BETWEEN 79W AND 93.5W...FROM 08N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 113W AND 120W...AND WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ BETWEEN 119W AND 140W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.