000
FZPN03 KNHC 222131
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT OCT 22 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ROSLYN NEAR 19.0N 106.6W 954 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 22 
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 105 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...135 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N105W TO 20N106W TO 18N108W TO 17N106W TO 
18N105W TO 19N105W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 15N103W TO 21N106W TO 22N113W TO 14N111W TO 
10N120W TO 08N111W TO 15N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN INLAND NEAR 23.2N
104.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...20 NM NW
QUADRANT AND 40 NM SE QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 26.0N
102.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 26N134W TO 30N127W TO 30N140W TO 17N140W TO 19N137W TO
26N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N119W TO 30N140W TO 22N140W TO
26N133W TO 27N123W TO 30N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N116W TO 30N133W TO 28N140W TO
23N140W TO 23N124W TO 24N117W TO 30N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 27N123W.

.WITHIN 17N126W TO 17N130W TO 13N132W TO 12N131W TO 15N128W TO
15N126W TO 17N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 31N114W TO 31N115W TO
30N114W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SW WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.HURRICANE ROSLYN...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 15N 
TO 23N BETWEEN 103W AND 109W.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SAT OCT 22...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 10N101W. MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES 
NEAR 14N112W TO 09N138W. THE ITCZ IS ANALYZED FROM THAT POINT TO 
BEYOND 09N140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 85W AND 
95W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS FROM 07N TO 18N BETWEEN 108W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.