000
FZPN03 KNHC 041607
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 4 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 4.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT  5.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT  6.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PAINE NEAR 17.5N 113.0W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
04 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 20 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N112W TO 18N113W TO 18N114W TO 
17N114W TO 17N113W TO 18N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N111W TO 18N112W TO 18N113W TO 
17N114W TO 16N113W TO 17N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAINE NEAR 18.6N 114.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 15 NM SE AND 45 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N113W TO 20N114W TO 19N115W TO 
18N114W TO 18N113W TO 19N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N113W TO 20N113W TO 20N114W TO 
18N115W TO 17N114W TO 18N113W TO 19N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAINE NEAR 18.9N 114.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAINE NEAR 19.2N 
114.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 20N114W
TO 20N115W TO 19N114W TO 20N114W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAINE NEAR 19.4N 
116.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 15.5N94.5W TO 16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 15N95.5W TO
14.5N95.5W TO 15N95W TO 15.5N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N95W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N95W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.09 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND
95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.WITHIN 02N80W TO 02N82W TO 01N82W TO 00N84W TO 01S82W TO 01S81W
TO 02N80W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N82W TO 04N107W TO 02N95W TO 01N95W 
TO 03.4S88W TO 02S83W TO 04N82W...INCLUDING EXCEPT LEE OF 
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO 
SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N82W TO 03N83W TO 03N85W TO 02N84W TO
03N83W TO 03N81W TO 04N82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S 
SWELL.

.WITHIN 21N133W TO 19N135W TO 17N131W TO 15N132W TO 13N127W TO
14N126W TO 21N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N125W TO 16N133W TO 19N140W TO 
14N134W TO 09N133W TO 12N127W TO 15N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N128W TO 17N131W TO 14N135W TO 
09N134W TO 11N131W TO 14N131W TO 17N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC TUE OCT 4...

T.S. PAINE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 120 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 09N79W TO 12.5N92W TO 
09.5N107W...THEN RESUMES FROM 13.5N114W TO 13N131W TO BEYOND 
11.5N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 02.5N TO 
08N E OF 81.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 09N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 88W AND 119W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 123W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.