000
FZPN03 KNHC 030848
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON OCT 3 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 3.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT  4.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT  5.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 22.1N 106.4W 976 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 03
MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM NE QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N105W TO 23N106W TO 
23N107W TO 22N108W TO 20N108W TO 20N106W TO 22N105W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 23N107W TO 22N109W 
TO 21N109W TO 19N108W TO 20N105W TO 23N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE INLAND NEAR 23.5N 
106.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE 
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 23N106W TO 24N107W TO 
23N107W TO 22N107W TO 22N106W TO 23N106W WINDS 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ORLENE NEAR 24.0N 106.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. OVER FORECAST WATERS CONDITIONS 
IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 15N97W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 15N97W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
9 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30N133W TO 30N140W TO 25N140W TO 25N138W TO 30N133W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N137W TO 30N140W TO 28N140W TO
29N138W TO 30N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14.4N111.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 16N111W TO 17N111W TO
16N113W TO 14N114W TO 14N113W TO 14N111W TO 16N111W WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 16N110W TO 16N113W TO 12N116W TO 
07N126W TO 06N124W TO 11N111W TO 16N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
15.5N111.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 18N111W TO 18N114W TO 15N116W TO 
14N114W TO 14N111W TO 15N110W TO 18N111W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
16N112W 1008 MB. WITHIN 18N110W TO 19N112W TO 18N115W TO 16N114W
TO 15N111W TO 16N110W TO 18N110W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT.

.WITHIN 00N81W TO 01N94W TO 07N100W TO 00N110W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S81W TO 00N81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03N78W TO 03N84W TO 02N86W TO 03.4S84W 
TO 03S80W TO 01S81W TO 03N78W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S
TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 05N78W TO 05N83W TO 04N87W TO 03.4S88W 
TO 03S80W TO 01S80W TO 05N78W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S
TO SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0840 UTC MON OCT 3...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60
NM OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE 
FROM 19N TO 24N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 10N97W TO 15N112W TO 12N122W TO 
12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 15N BETWEEN 90W AND 
100W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN
111W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 17N BETWEEN 120W 
AND 126W...AND FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 128W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.