000
FZPN03 KNHC 030252
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON OCT 3 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 3.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT  4.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT  5.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 21.4N 106.5W 976 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 03
MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS
110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SE QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N106W TO 22N107W TO 
21N108W TO 20N108W TO 19N107W TO 20N106W TO 22N106W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 22N106W TO 22N108W 
TO 19N109W TO 18N107W TO 19N105W TO 22N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE ON THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 
22.9N 106.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 0 NM NE QUADRANT...WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 23N106W TO 24N107W TO 24N108W TO 22N108W TO 22N107W TO 
22N106W TO 23N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
AREA WITHIN 23N106W TO 24N107W TO 23N108W TO 22N108W TO 20N107W 
TO 21N106W TO 23N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE INLAND NEAR 23.6N 
105.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N97W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
15N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N96W TO 14N99W TO 13N102W TO 11N102W TO 
11N100W TO 12N96W TO 15N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30N134W TO 30N140W TO 26N140W TO 27N137W TO 30N134W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N138W TO 30N140W TO 28N140W TO
29N139W TO 30N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 13N109W TO 16N112W TO 12N119W TO 07N126W TO 06N119W TO
08N114W TO 13N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N112W TO 18N114W TO 17N116W TO 
14N115W TO 14N112W TO 15N111W TO 17N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0250 UTC MON OCT 3...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 
16N TO 24N BETWEEN 103W AND 109W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 11N98W TO 15N111W TO 11N130W TO 
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 15N E OF 98W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 17N BETWEEN 110W AND 117W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 17N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W...AND 
FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.