000
FZPN03 KNHC 022217
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN OCT 2 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT  3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT  4.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 20.4N 106.9W 972 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 02
MOVING N OR 05 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS
120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...45
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N106W TO 21N109W TO 19N109W TO 18N108W TO 
18N105W TO 22N106W...INCLUDING CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 22.4N 106.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 
60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N105W
TO 22N107W TO 24N107W TO 22N108W TO 20N108W TO 20N106W TO 
22N105W...INCLUDING CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE INLAND NEAR 23.3N 
105.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE INLAND NEAR 24.2N 
105.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.60 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 13N100W TO 12N99W 
TO 12N96W TO 13N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N112W 1008 MB. WITHIN 14N109W TO 16N112W TO 
10N122W TO 06N125W TO 04N120W TO 08N112W TO 14N109W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N112W 1007 MB. CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30N135W TO 30N140W TO 28N140W TO 28N137W TO 30N135W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N135W TO 30N140W TO 28N140W TO
28N137W TO 30N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2150 UTC SUN OCT 2...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 104W
AND 109W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N84W TO 11N93W TO 08N97W TO 
08N102W TO 12N105W THEN RESUMES FROM A 1008 MB LOW NEAR 15N112W 
TO 12N127W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 91W AND 100W...AND FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 118W AND 136W
AS WELL AS THE COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA OFFSHORE WATERS.

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.