000
FZPN03 KNHC 021607
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN OCT 2 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT  3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT  4.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.6N 106.9W 953 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 02
MOVING N OR 05 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS
135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND
50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
21N106W TO 21N108W TO 20N109W TO 19N109W TO 18N106W TO 19N105W TO
21N106W...INCLUDING CABO CORRIENTES... WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 21.7N 106.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N105W TO 23N106W TO 23N107W 
TO 22N108W TO 21N107W TO 21N106W TO 22N105W...INCLUDING CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 21N106W TO 21N107W TO 22N108W TO 21N110W TO 18N107W 
TO 19N105W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE INLAND NEAR 23.3N 
105.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. 
OVER FORECAST WATERS CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE INLAND NEAR 23.9N 
105.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N112W 1008 MB. WITHIN 15N110W TO 10N117W TO 
07N124W TO 00N126W TO 00N121W TO 05N111W TO 15N110W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N112W 1007 MB. WITHIN 15N112W TO 16N113W TO 14N113W TO 
13N113W TO 14N112W TO 15N112W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT. WITHIN 15N109W TO 16N111W TO 16N114W TO 11N114W TO 
10N112W TO 12N109W TO 15N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N115W 1006 MB. WITHIN 17N113W TO 17N116W TO 15N117W TO 13N116W
TO 14N114W TO 15N113W TO 17N113W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N98W TO 13N97W
TO 13N96W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N97W TO
14N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30N136W TO 30N140W TO 27N140W TO 28N138W TO 30N136W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N133W TO 30N140W TO 25N140W TO
27N137W TO 30N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.WITHIN 01S105W TO 01S111W TO 02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S100W
TO 01S105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL. WITHIN 07N97W TO 07N106W TO 00N104W TO 00N102W TO 03N97W
TO 07N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03N78W TO 04N81W TO 02N84W TO 01S86W TO
02S81W TO 01N80W TO 03N78W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N127W TO 18N130W TO 17N132W TO
14N132W TO 13N128W TO 14N127W TO 17N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1550 UTC SUN OCT 2...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 
105W AND 109W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N84W TO 11N92W TO 08N97W TO 
10N102W THEN RESUMES FROM 1008 MB LOW NEAR 15N112W TO 12N130W TO
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W AND 
101W...AND FROM 08N TO 16N BETWEEN 106W AND 126W. 

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.