000
FZPN03 KNHC 020854
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN OCT 2 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT  3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT  4.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.0N 106.8W 949 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 02
MOVING N OR 05 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS
130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER.  SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N105W TO 20N107W TO 20N108W TO 19N108W TO 
17N108W TO 18N106W TO 19N105W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 19N104W TO 21N106W TO 20N110W TO 
18N110W TO 15N108W TO 15N106W TO 19N104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 20.9N 106.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W AND 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N105W TO 
23N106W TO 22N107W TO 20N108W TO 19N107W TO 20N105W TO 22N105W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 
23N106W TO 22N110W TO 19N109W TO 17N107W TO 19N104W TO 20N105W TO
23N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE INLAND NEAR 22.8N 105.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 45 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N106W TO 24N107W TO 22N107W TO 
21N107W TO 21N106W TO 21N105W TO 23N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE INLAND NEAR 23.2N 
105.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N97W TO 15N97W TO 14N95W
TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N97W TO
15N97W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N97W TO
15N97W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.WITHIN 03N106W TO 08N111W TO 05N123W TO 00N127W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S93W TO 03N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 07N98W TO 07N106W TO 03.4S120W TO 
03.4S109W TO 00N105W TO 02N97W TO 07N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. WITHIN 01N80W TO 02N81W TO 01N86W TO
03.4S92W TO 03S80W TO 01N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S
TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03N79W TO 04N84W TO 01N87W TO 03.4S88W 
TO 03S80W TO 01S81W TO 03N79W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S
TO SW SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N112W 1008 MB. WITHIN 14N111W 
TO 14N112W TO 13N112W TO 12N112W TO 12N111W TO 13N111W TO 14N111W
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N109W TO 
15N111W TO 14N113W TO 11N113W TO 11N110W TO 12N109W TO 13N109W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N112W 1008 MB. WITHIN 15N111W TO 15N113W TO 14N114W TO 13N113W 
TO 13N112W TO 14N111W TO 15N111W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N110W TO 15N109W TO 16N113W TO 10N122W TO
05N127W TO 04N123W TO 11N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N114W 1008 MB. WITHIN 16N113W TO 17N115W TO 16N115W TO 15N115W 
TO 14N113W TO 16N113W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N111W TO 17N113W TO 17N115W TO 16N116W TO 
14N116W TO 14N112W TO 16N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N137W TO 30N140W TO 28N140W TO
28N139W TO 29N138W TO 30N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N133W TO 30N140W TO 25N140W TO 
26N138W TO 30N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N138W TO 30N140W TO 27N140W TO 
28N139W TO 30N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0850 UTC SUN OCT 2...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60
NM OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE 
FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 11N100W. IT RESUMES FROM 15N110W 
TO 12N117W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED 
FROM 05N TO 13N E OF 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.