843 
FZPN03 KNHC 020257
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN OCT 2 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT  3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT  4.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 18.4N 106.9W 966 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 02
MOVING N OR 05 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS
115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER.  SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N106W TO 20N107W TO 19N108W TO 17N108W TO 
16N107W TO 18N106W TO 20N106W 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 19N104W TO 20N108W TO 19N110W TO 16N110W TO
15N107W TO 17N105W TO 19N104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 20.3N 106.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E AND 90 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N106W TO 
22N106W TO 21N108W TO 19N108W TO 18N106W TO 19N105W TO 20N106W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 23N106W
TO 23N107W TO 20N110W TO 19N110W TO 17N108W TO 19N104W TO 
23N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 22.5N 105.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE, 30 NM SE AND 0 NM NE 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N106W TO 24N107W
TO 23N107W TO 21N107W TO 21N105W TO 23N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 23N106W TO 24N107W TO 
24N108W TO 22N109W TO 21N108W TO 21N105W TO 23N106W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL 
STORM ORLENE INLAND NEAR 23.1N 105.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40
KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N97W TO 14N96W TO 14N94W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N97W TO 14N96W TO
14N94W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC... NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N97W TO 14N96W TO
14N94W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 06N115W TO 04N123W TO 00N125W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S100W
TO 06N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 07N98W TO 06N106W TO 01N108W TO 
03.4S105W TO 03.4S90W TO 01N95W TO 07N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N96W TO 14N98W TO 12N101W TO 11N101W 
TO 11N100W TO 12N97W TO 14N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
S TO SW SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N111W TO 14N112W TO 14N113W TO
13N113W TO 12N112W TO 12N111W TO 13N111W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
14N113W 1007 MB. WITHIN 14N111W TO 16N112W TO 15N114W TO 13N114W
TO 13N112W TO 14N111W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N110W TO 17N111W TO 10N122W TO 05N128W TO 
03N119W TO 10N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
15N114W 1007 MB. WITHIN 15N113W TO 16N114W TO 16N115W TO 15N116W
TO 14N114W TO 14N113W TO 15N113W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N111W TO 17N115W TO 16N117W TO 13N116W TO
13N114W TO 14N110W TO 17N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N137W TO 30N137W TO 30N140W TO
27N140W TO 28N139W TO 29N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N133W TO 30N140W TO 26N140W TO
27N137W TO 30N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N136W TO 30N140W TO 27N140W TO 
28N138W TO 30N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0250 UTC SUN OCT 2...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60
NM OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE 
FROM 14N TO 22N BETWEEN 101W AND 110W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 11N100W. IT RESUMES FROM 15N111W 
TO 13N117W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
05N TO 14N E OF 93W...AND FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W.
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 128W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.