000
FZPN03 KNHC 010840
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT OCT 1 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT  3.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 17.2N 107.0W 994 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT
01 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N106W TO 18N107W TO 18N108W TO 17N108W TO 
16N108W TO 16N106W TO 18N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 18N105W TO 20N106W TO 20N108W TO 
18N110W TO 15N109W TO 15N107W TO 18N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 17.9N 106.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 18.9N 106.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N106W TO 20N109W TO 19N109W TO 
18N108W TO 18N107W TO 19N105W TO 20N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 21N106W TO 21N107W TO 19N111W 
TO 17N110W TO 16N106W TO 18N105W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 21.2N 106.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 23N106W TO 23N107W TO 22N107W TO 20N107W TO 20N106W TO 
21N105W TO 23N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
AREA WITHIN 22N105W TO 23N106W TO 22N110W TO 19N110W TO 18N107W 
TO 19N106W TO 22N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 22.5N 105.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE INLAND NEAR 23.7N 
105.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N96W TO 13N95W TO 14N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO
14N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 01S107W TO 01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S103W TO 01S107W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 06N104W TO 09N116W TO 06N123W TO 
00N124W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S95W TO 06N104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N109W TO 13N118W TO 08N126W TO 
04N122W TO 03N99W TO 05N95W TO 14N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N138W TO 30N140W TO 28N140W TO 
29N138W TO 30N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N134W TO 30N140W TO 26N140W TO 
27N137W TO 30N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0840 UTC SAT OCT 1...

.T.S. ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM
13N TO 19N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 14N100W. IT RESUMES FROM 15N112W 
TO 12N120W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
02N TO 13N E OF 90W...AND FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 110W AND 116W.
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.