000
FZPN03 KNHC 300252
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI SEP 30 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT  1.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT  2.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 15.6N 106.7W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
30 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 30 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N106W TO 16N108W TO 15N108W TO 
15N106W TO 16N105W TO 17N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 17.1N 107.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 19N106W TO 19N107W TO 18N109W TO 17N109W TO 16N107W TO 
17N106W TO 19N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 11 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
AREA WITHIN 17N108W TO 19N107W TO 19N110W TO 16N110W TO 15N108W 
TO 17N107W TO 17N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 18.8N 107.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N106W TO 
22N108W TO 21N109W TO 19N110W TO 18N108W TO 18N106W TO 20N106W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 
22N106W TO 22N112W TO 16N114W TO 14N110W TO 15N107W TO 18N106W TO
22N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 21.3N 107.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE INLAND NEAR 23.7N 
106.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE INLAND NEAR 26.1N 
106.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 30 TO 
35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N93W TO 16N95W TO 
14N97W TO 12N97W TO 11N95W TO 14N93W TO 16N93W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 12N97W TO 11N96W TO
11N95W TO 13N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N93W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 13N96W TO
14N94W TO 16N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N94W TO 14N96W 
TO 13N97W TO 11N97W TO 11N95W TO 12N94W TO 13N94W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 20N134W TO 22N140W TO 14N140W TO 14N134W TO 16N133W TO
20N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S117W TO 01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S109W TO 01S117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S108W TO 01S114W TO 02S120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03S105W TO 02S108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0250 UTC FRI SEP 30...

.T.S. ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM
11N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 109W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 12N91W TO 15N99W. IT RESUMES FROM 
14N110W TO 13N127W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 
09N E OF 85W...AND FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 112W 
AND 117W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 135W AND 
140W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.