000
FZPN03 KNHC 290833
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU SEP 29 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT  1.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 14.8N 104.9W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
29 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N103W TO 
16N104W TO 16N105W TO 15N105W TO 14N104W TO 14N103W TO 16N103W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 16.4N 107.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH  
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N107W TO 18N108W TO 18N109W TO 
16N109W TO 15N108W TO 16N107W TO 18N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIXTEEN NEAR 17.2N 108.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N107W 
TO 19N107W TO 20N109W TO 18N111W TO 17N111W TO 15N108W TO 18N107W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIXTEEN NEAR 17.9N 108.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
105 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N106W TO 20N107W TO 20N109W TO 18N110W TO 
16N109W TO 17N107W TO 19N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N105W TO 21N108W TO 20N110W TO 
18N111W TO 15N109W TO 16N106W TO 18N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIXTEEN NEAR 20.0N 108.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN NEAR 22.6N 107.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL SIXTEEN NEAR 25.3N 107.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N95W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 13N96W 
TO 13N94W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8
TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 12N96W TO
13N94W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC 
...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W 
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS
9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N93W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 
12N97W TO 11N96W TO 12N95W TO 15N93W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8
TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT SEAS TO 12 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N97W TO 11N97W TO
11N95W TO 13N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC 
...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO
13N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC 
...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 18N131W TO 18N136W TO 17N137W TO
17N134W TO 16N132W TO 17N131W TO 18N131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 18N137W TO 19N138W TO 19N140W TO
15N140W TO 15N138W TO 16N137W TO 18N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S116W TO 02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S112W TO 02S116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. 

CONVECTION VALID AT 0800 UTC THU SEP 29...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO NEAR ORLENE AT 14.8N104.9W TO 
12N115W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N127W TO 08N138W. ITCZ FROM 08N138W 
TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N 
TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 
COAST FROM COLOMBIA NORTHWARD TO GUATEMALA. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 96W...AND FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN
118W AND 122W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.