000
FZPN03 KNHC 212103
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED SEP 21 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 23.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 17.1N 105.3W 1007 MB AT 2100
UTC SEP 21 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 18N104W TO 19N105W TO 18N107W TO 
16N106W TO 16N104W TO 17N104W TO 18N104W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 17.5N 106.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 17.8N 107.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N108W TO 19N109W TO 18N109W TO 
17N108W TO 17N107W TO 18N107W TO 19N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 18.2N 110.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW 
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N109W TO 19N110W TO 19N111W TO 
18N111W TO 18N110W TO 18N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 18.5N 
111.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 18.9N
112.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 22N115W 1008 MB. WITHIN 23N115W TO 24N116W TO 
24N117W TO 21N118W TO 20N116W TO 20N115W TO 23N115W WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N113W TO 25N115W TO 
26N118W TO 23N120W TO 19N118W TO 19N114W TO 23N113W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 22N118W 1009 MB. WITHIN 24N119W 
TO 24N120W TO 23N121W TO 21N120W TO 21N119W TO 22N118W TO 24N119W
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N117W TO 
25N120W TO 23N122W TO 21N123W TO 18N120W TO 19N116W TO 24N117W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 21N122W 1009 MB. WITHIN 23N122W 
TO 24N123W TO 23N124W TO 21N123W TO 22N122W TO 23N122W WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N121W TO 23N124W TO
21N125W TO 19N123W TO 19N122W TO 21N120W TO 24N121W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.WITHIN 13N118W TO 13N119W TO 11N120W TO 10N120W TO 10N118W TO
11N117W TO 13N118W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N114W TO 14N116W TO 13N117W TO
11N117W TO 11N115W TO 13N114W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N113W TO 15N116W TO 12N119W TO 10N118W TO
09N111W TO 14N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N109W TO 13N114W TO 11N114W TO 
09N113W TO 10N110W TO 12N108W TO 15N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.WITHIN 08N93W TO 13N99W TO 14N104W TO 10N106W TO 05N102W TO
04N94W TO 08N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N94W TO 13N102W TO 11N104W TO 08N102W
TO 08N97W TO 10N93W TO 13N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N100W TO 12N101W TO 10N103W TO 
09N103W TO 08N101W TO 10N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN SW SWELL.

.WITHIN 01S106W TO 01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S103W TO 01S106W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N102W TO 01N122W TO 03.4S120W TO 
03S98W TO 00N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N100W TO 01N114W TO 00N121W TO 
03.4S120W TO 03.4S93W TO 00N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN S TO SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC WED SEP 21...

.T.D. FIFTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N TO
20N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 13N86W TO 17N104W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 02N TO 08N E OF 88W...FROM 10N TO 
16N BETWEEN 89W AND 100W...FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 
108W...AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 111W AND 132W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.