000 FZPN03 KNHC 172129 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC SAT SEP 17 2022 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 17. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 18. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 19. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 15.9N 106.9W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 17 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 62 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT.SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 101 AND 112W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 05N BETWEEN 92W AND A LINE FROM 18N106W TO 05N125W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 18.4N 107.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 340 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 08N W OF 92W TO A LINE FROM 21N107W TO 06N120W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 20.2N 110.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT N OF 10N BETWEEN 92W AND 112W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 20.5N 112.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 20.5N 115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 20.5N 118.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .REMNANTS OF LESTER INLAND NEAR 16.5N 98.5W 1010 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 17 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 15N BETWEEN 98W AND 100W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATED LESTER NEAR 17.7N 99.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. S OF 00N W OF 92W...AND S OF 02S BETWEEN 87W AND 92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .FROM 10N TO 14N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .30 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 132W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 129W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF A LINE FROM 15.5F 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SAT SEP 17... T.S. MADELINE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N84W TO 14N95W, THEN RESUMES FROM NEAR 14N112W TO 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR 11N139W. ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH MADELINE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION CAN BE FOUND FROM 06N TO 08N E OF 82W...INCLUDING PARTS OF THE GULF OF PANAMA...FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W...FROM 12N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 96W AND 104W...AND FROM 10N TO 11N W OF 139W. $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.