000
FZPN03 KNHC 152117
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU SEP 15 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E NEAR 12.7N 95.4W 1007 MB AT 2100 
UTC SEP 15 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 93W AND 96W 
SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E NEAR 13.3N 96.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E NEAR 14.1N 97.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 
12 FT WITHIN THE AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 
NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 09N TO 
14N BETWEEN 95W AND 102W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E NEAR 16.9N 100.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS...SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM S AND 90 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 95W AND 102W SW TO 
W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E INLAND NEAR 
18.4N 101.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N106.5W 1007 MB. FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W 
AND 110W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N107W 1006 MB. FROM 09N TO 14N W OF 102W TO A LINE FROM 
14N107W TO 08N115W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
16N105W 1006 MB. FROM 07N TO 16N W OF 102W TO A LINE FROM 
16N105W TO 14N110W TO 07N118W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.

.S OF 00N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 134W AND 138W NE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 136W AND 139W NE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC THU SEP 15...

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N106.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
MAINLY IN THE W SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW CENTER FROM 14N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 106W AND 111W. 

.T.D. THIRTEEN-E NEAR 12.7N95.4W...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 95W AND 102W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN COSTA RICA NEAR 10N84W 
TO T.D. THIRTEEN-E LOCATED NEAR 12.7N95.4W TO 1007 MB LOW 
PRESSURE NEAR 15N106.5W TO 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 14N133W TO 
10N140W. ASIDE FOR THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION AND THE LOW PRESSURE, SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 80W AND 91W. 
SIMILAR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 126W AND 
138W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.