000
FZPN03 KNHC 071548
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED SEP 7 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 7.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP  8.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP  9.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KAY NEAR 21.1N 112.6W 967 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 07 
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 200 NM NE 
QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...270 NM NW QUADRANT AND 480 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 21N106W TO 24N114W TO 18N117W TO 
16N115W TO 10N118W TO 11N111W TO 21N106W...INCLUDING CABO 
CORRIENTES AND GULF OF CALIFORNIA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 16N101W TO 25N109W TO 26N115W 
TO 11N123W TO 07N118W TO 07N111W TO 16N101W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60
NM OF SHORE...WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 24.9N 114.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...170 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM NE QUADRANT...480 NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 37 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 25N109W TO 29N112W TO 27N117W TO 19N116W TO 
18N113W TO 21N110W TO 25N109W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND 
SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 24N108W TO 18N115W TO 27N124W TO 
12N128W TO 09N109W TO 15N102W TO 24N108W...INCLUDING CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 28.9N 116.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM NE QUADRANT...480 NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 30N118W TO
28N118W TO 25N116W TO 27N111W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 30N118W TO 30N128W TO 
19N120W TO 13N125W TO 11N112W TO 15N103W TO 30N118W...INCLUDING 
CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 30.2N 117.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 30.9N 118.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 30.9N
121.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 29.4N
121.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 03S116W TO 03S118W TO 02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S116W 
TO 03S116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S113W TO 03S116W TO 02S117W TO 
02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S110W TO 03S113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S102W TO 02S110W TO 00N122W TO 
01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S97W TO 02S102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.

.WITHIN 29N133W TO 29N136W TO 29N137W TO 28N136W TO 28N134W TO
29N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.09 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED SEP 7...

.HURRICANE KAY....NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 12N TO 25N 
BETWEEN 108W AND 121W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 12N101W AND FROM 16N118W TO
12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 102W
AND FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 118W AND 132W.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.