000
FZPN03 KNHC 070919
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED SEP 7 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 7.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP  8.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP  9.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KAY NEAR 20.2N 112.0W 975 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 07 
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 200 NM NE 
QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT...510 
NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N106W TO 23N108W TO 23N115W TO
15N114W TO 10N117W TO 12N110W TO 19N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N101W TO 25N108W TO 
25N114W TO 10N122W TO 07N111W TO 10N102W TO 16N101W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 23.7N 113.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE QUADRANT...480 NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 37 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 24N108W TO 27N112W TO 26N116W TO 20N118W TO 18N116W TO 
20N109W TO 24N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 24N107W TO 26N123W TO 15N122W TO 12N129W TO 
09N109W TO 14N102W TO 24N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 27.9N 115.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM NE QUADRANT...480 NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N113W 
TO 30N117W TO 28N118W TO 25N118W TO 24N114W TO 27N109W TO 31N113W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
23N106W TO 30N127W TO 18N121W TO 10N125W TO 11N111W TO 17N102W TO
23N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 29.7N 116.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 30.8N 118.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 31.2N
120.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 30.1N
121.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30N133W TO 30N136W TO 29N137W TO 27N136W TO 27N135W TO
28N133W TO 30N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S116.5W TO 03S118.5W TO 03S118.5W TO
02.5S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S116.5W TO 03S116.5W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S117W TO 02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S115W TO 02S117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S101W TO 02S110W TO 01S120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S100W TO 02S101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC WED SEP 7...

.HURRICANE KAY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 09N TO 24N 
BETWEEN 108W AND 121W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 12N101W. THE MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES 
NEAR 17N121W TO BEYOND 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS NOTED FROM 
05N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.