000
FZPN03 KNHC 070306
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED SEP 7 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 7.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP  8.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP  9.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KAY NEAR 19.5N 111.7W 975 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 07
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 170 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT...480
NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N105W TO 23N113W TO 
16N115W TO 12N119W TO 10N116W TO 11N109W TO 19N105W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N101W TO 
25N108W TO 21N116W TO 09N120W TO 07N112W TO 09N103W TO 17N101W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 22.5N 113.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...140 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE QUADRANT...480 NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 37 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 22N108W TO 27N111W TO 26N115W TO 24N117W TO 19N118W TO 
15N111W TO 22N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 25N109W TO 24N122W TO 16N120W TO 11N129W TO 
08N110W TO 14N102W TO 25N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 26.8N 115.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM NE QUADRANT...480 NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 27N109W 
TO 30N113W TO 28N118W TO 25N118W TO 22N116W TO 23N114W TO 27N109W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
25N108W TO 22N116W TO 30N124W TO 12N129W TO 10N110W TO 14N102W TO
25N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 30.0N 117.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL KAY NEAR 31.1N 120.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 30.8N
121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30N132W TO 30N137W TO 29N137W TO 28N136W TO 28N133W TO
30N132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S116.5W TO 03S118.5W TO 03S118.5W TO
02.5S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S116.5W TO 03S116.5W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S109W TO 02S110W TO 02S115W TO
01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S103W TO 03S109W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC WED SEP 7...

.HURRICANE KAY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 09N TO 21N 
BETWEEN 108W AND 120W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 09N98W. THE TROUGH RESUMES NEAR 
15N120W TO BEYOND 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 91W AND 98W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.