000
FZPN03 KNHC 060307
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE SEP 6 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 6.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP  7.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP  8.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KAY NEAR 16.0N 108.1W 980 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 06
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE
QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE
AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
18N102W TO 21N106W TO 20N109W TO 11N113W TO 10N108W TO
11N105W TO 18N102W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N100W TO 18N102W TO 11N106W TO 13N116W
TO 06N107W TO 07N103W TO 13N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 18.3N 111.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N105W TO 24N112W TO 19N116W TO 15N114W TO 
10N117W TO 12N108W TO 19N105W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N102W TO 24N107W TO 19N117W TO 
09N120W TO 07N113W TO 11N101W TO 18N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 21.7N 113.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 170 NM W SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 200 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 
240 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 37 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N108W 
TO 27N111W TO 26N115W TO 20N118W TO 13N115W TO 15N111W TO 23N108W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
17N102W TO 25N109W TO 28N118W TO 16N122W TO 10N129W TO 07N110W TO
17N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 25.6N 115.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 28.5N 116.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL KAY NEAR 30.0N 120.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30N127W TO 30N134W TO 29N135W TO 27N134W TO 27N131W TO
28N127W TO 30N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N132W TO 30N137W TO 29N137W TO
27N135W TO 28N133W TO 30N132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN NE SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S117W TO 03S118W TO 02S120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S116W TO 03S117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S117W TO 02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S116W TO 03S117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC TUE SEP 6...

.HURRICANE KAY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 08N TO 21N
BETWEEN 104W AND 123W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 12N97W. THE MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES 
NEAR 16N116W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N
TO 12N BETWEEN 88W AND 94W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.