000 FZPN03 KNHC 051600 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC MON SEP 5 2022 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 5. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 6. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 7. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 15.8N 106.4W 995 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 05 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 16N101W TO 19N105W TO 19N108W TO 10N111W TO 11N105W TO 13N102W TO 16N101W...INCLUDING CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 13N99W TO 17N100W TO 19N107W TO 10N112W TO 09N106W TO 08N103W TO 13N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 17.3N 109.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...170 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 18N104W TO 22N110W TO 17N115W TO 13N113W TO 11N115W TO 11N106W TO 18N104W...INCLUDING CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 17N100W TO 23N108W TO 19N115W TO 12N119W TO 08N111W TO 08N102W TO 17N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 20.2N 112.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE...220 NM NE QUADRANT AND 200 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 20N106W TO 25N110W TO 23N116W TO 17N117W TO 11N116W TO 12N110W TO 20N106W...INCLUDING CABO CORRIENTES AND GULF OF CALIFORNIA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N100W TO 26N115W TO 15N119W TO 10N130W TO 06N119W TO 08N104W TO 16N100W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 24.0N 114.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 27.5N 115.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 29.7N 119.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 30N129W TO 30N130W TO 29N130W TO 29N129W TO 30N129W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 28N126W TO 30N125W TO 30N140W TO 23N139W TO 23N135W TO 28N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. .09 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 28N126W TO 30N126W TO 30N134W TO 25N139W TO 24N137W TO 25N133W TO 28N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N128W TO 30N136W TO 28N136W TO 27N134W TO 28N129W TO 30N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N133W TO 30N134W TO 29N138W TO 28N138W TO 27N136W TO 28N134W TO 29N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. .WITHIN 14N123W TO 15N123W TO 14N126W TO 13N126W TO 13N124W TO 14N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .15 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. .39 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S117W TO 02S118W TO 02S119W TO 02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S116.5W TO 03S117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S116W TO 03S118W TO 02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S116W TO 03S116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC MON SEP 5... .T.S. KAY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 99W AND 114W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 13N99W AND FROM 16N120W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATEFROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 85W AND 97W AND FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W. $$ .FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.