000
FZPN03 KNHC 050930
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON SEP 5 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 5.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP  6.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP  7.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 15.7N 105.3W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 05
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...90
NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N99W TO 19N104W TO 18N107W TO 
11N108W TO 10N101W TO 12N99W TO 16N99W...INCLUDING CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 17.0N 108.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 16N103W TO 19N104W TO 22N108W TO 17N113W TO 10N113W TO 
10N106W TO 16N103W...INCLUDING CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N99W TO 22N107W 
TO 19N112W TO 09N114W TO 06N108W TO 07N103W TO 13N99W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 19.6N 111.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 190 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW AND NW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N106W TO 23N108W
TO 24N114W TO 20N117W TO 11N114W TO 10N110W TO 
18N106W...INCLUDING CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N101W TO 25N108W TO 22N117W 
TO 10N125W TO 06N119W TO 09N102W TO 17N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 23.3N 113.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAY NEAR 27.5N 115.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 29.9N 118.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30N124W TO 30N134W TO 26N140W TO 23N140W TO 22N132W TO
25N128W TO 30N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N127W TO 30N136W TO 28N137W TO
26N134W TO 27N129W TO 30N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N133W TO 30N138W TO 29N140W TO
27N138W TO 27N135W TO 28N133W TO 30N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.WITHIN 15N123W TO 15N126W TO 13N127W TO 12N125W TO 13N122W TO
15N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S116W TO 03S117W TO 02S120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S116W TO 03S116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON SEP 5...

T.S. KAY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 
96W AND 113W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 14N99W. THE MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES 
NEAR 15N111W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N 
TO 15N BETWEEN 84W AND 99W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 
THE BOUNDARY BETWEEN 116W-127W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.