000
FZPN03 KNHC 022210
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI SEP 02 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 04.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JAVIER NEAR 21.8N 112.8W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
02 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
270 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE 
QUADRANT...420 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 108W AND 115W AND FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W AND 128W 
SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JAVIER NEAR 25.0N 115.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER AND 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN 112W AND 119W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 12N TO 
20N BETWEEN 107W AND 117W AND FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 117W AND 
126W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL JAVIER NEAR 26.8N 120.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 23N TO 30N BETWEEN 117W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JAVIER NEAR 26.9N 
123.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JAVIER NEAR 26.8N 
125.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JAVIER NEAR 26.3N 
130.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JAVIER NEAR 25.8N 
133.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W FROM 06N TO 17N WITH LOW PRES NEAR 
13N. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS 
FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W AND ALSO FROM 09N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 97W AND 105W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N98W 1005 MB. FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W AND 98W AND E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N101W 1003 MB. FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 96W AND 103W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN
99W AND 103W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 27N TO 30N BETWEEN 126W AND 134W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 27N TO 30N BETWEEN 127W AND 137W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2145 UTC FRI SEP 02...

.TROPICAL STORM JAVIER...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NW 
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 17N TO 20N 
BETWEEN 111W AND 116W AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 
FROM 14N120W TO 17N115W. 

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W FROM 06N TO 17N WITH LOW PRES NEAR 
13N86W 1008 MB...NUMEROUS TSTMS FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 92W AND 
97W AND FROM 09N TO 15N BETWEEN 97W AND 105W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG OVER SOUTHERN GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 05N80W TO 06N83W 
TO 06N87W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N86W.
IT RESUMES SW OF JAVIER NEAR 16N117W AND CONTINUES TO 12N130W TO 
BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 88W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 
NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 135W AND 138W AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF 
TROUGH 138W AND 139W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.