331 
FZPN03 KNHC 152046
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON AUG 15 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 17.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 17.7N 113.9W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
15 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 80 NM NW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 
18N113W TO 19N114W TO 18N115W TO 17N115W TO 17N114W TO 18N113W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVETTE NEAR 17.6N 114.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IVETTE NEAR 17.6N 
114.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN AREA 
BOUNDED BY 18N114W TO 19N115W TO 19N116W TO 18N116W TO 17N115W TO
17N114W TO 18N114W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IVETTE NEAR 18.0N 
116.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. CONDITIONS 
IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IVETTE NEAR 18.5N 
118.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 01S85W TO 02S93W TO 01S100W TO 02S110W
TO 03.4S113W TO 03S80W TO 01S85W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT
IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 01S83W TO 02S91W TO 
01S98W TO 02S103W TO 03.4S104W TO 03.4S80W TO 01S83W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 01N80W TO 04N82W TO 
01S89W TO 03.4S96W TO 03S80W TO 01N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2040 UTC MON AUG 15...

.T.S. IVETTE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM 
W SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 10N95W TO 12N103W. IT CONTINUES 
FROM 15N117W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 03N TO 09N EAST OF 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 90W AND 95W...AND FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.