000
FZPN03 KNHC 210341
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU JUL 21 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 23.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 21.8N 123.2W 1004 MB AT 0300 UTC
JUL 21 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N121W TO 
20N123W TO 20N125W TO 24N126W TO 24N121W TO 22N121W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N121W TO 
18N125W TO 22N127W TO 27N122W TO 23N119W TO 18N121W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 22.6N 
126.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 23N125W
TO 22N128W TO 22N129W TO 25N129W TO 25N127W TO 23N125W WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N125W TO 20N128W TO
22N130W TO 26N128W TO 24N124W TO 21N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.2N 
129.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. WITHIN 23N129W
TO 22N131W TO 24N131W TO 25N131W TO 25N129W TO 23N129W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.3N 
130.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS...CONDITIONS IMPROVE.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 21N109W TO 21N110W TO 22N111W TO
23N110W TO 23N108W TO 21N109W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8
FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 06N89W TO 08N102W TO 10N101W TO 09N94W
TO 09N89W TO 06N89W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 07N88W TO 06N91W TO 07N95W TO 10N90W TO
10N88W TO 07N88W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC THU JUL 21...

.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF
CENTER IN NW SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 05N
TO 11N BETWEEN 77W AND 90W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 
04.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09.5N85W TO 10N112W TO 12N123W TO 11N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 
114W.

$$
.FORECASTER HAGEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.