000
FZPN03 KNHC 202058
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED JUL 20 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 22.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 21.6N 122.3W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUL 20 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
75 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N119W TO 20N121W TO 
20N123W TO 23N123W TO 24N121W TO 22N119W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N114W TO 17N121W TO 
20N125W TO 26N121W TO 25N115W TO 21N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 22.5N 
125.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 22N124W
TO 23N125W TO 22N127W TO 23N127W TO 24N125W TO 22N124W WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N125W TO 
20N127W TO 24N128W TO 25N125W TO 24N123W TO 20N125W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.2N 
128.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT. 
.60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.4N 
129.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 21N109W TO 21N110W TO 22N110W TO
23N110W TO 22N109W TO 21N109W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 07N89W TO 06N90W TO 07N93W TO 08N93W TO
08N90W TO 07N89W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N89W TO 07N91W TO 09N92W TO 10N90W TO
10N89W TO 08N89W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2045 UTC WED JUL 20...

.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W N OF 03N...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
FROM 05N TO 12N AND E OF 86W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W N OF 02N...SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N-15N IN VICINITY OF MONSOON TROUGH.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N85W TO 10113W. THE BOUNDARY RESUMES NEAR 
14N118W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 200 NM ON
EITHER SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY AND E OF 115W. SCATTERED SHOWERS
ALONG TROUGH BETWEEN 119W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.