000
FZPN03 KNHC 201610
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED JUL 20 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 22.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 21.2N 120.7W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
20 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N117W 
TO 19N118W TO 19N120W TO 22N122W TO 23N119W TO 21N117W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N113W TO 
20N118W TO 18N123W TO 23N124W TO 26N116W TO 18N113W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ESTELLE NEAR 22.1N 124.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS WITH SEAS TO 14 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N123W TO 22N125W TO 23N125W TO 24N124W TO 
23N123W TO 22N123W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 19N122W TO 21N128W TO 25N126W TO 26N123W TO 
22N120W TO 19N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 22.5N 
125.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 22.9N 
127.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 23N127W TO 21N128W TO 21N130W TO 25N130W TO 24N127W TO 
23N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.5N
129.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 18N105W TO 19N106W TO 20N107W TO
20N106W TO 19N105W TO 18N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 22N108W TO 21N109W TO 22N111W TO
23N110W TO 23N109W TO 22N108W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N90W TO 06N93W TO 06N96W TO 09N95W TO
09N93W TO 08N90W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N90W TO 08N94W TO 09N94W TO 10N93W TO
10N90W TO 08N90W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED JUL 20...

.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W N OF 04N...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 180 NM E OF THE WAVE AND N OF 04N.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W N OF 02N...SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N-15N BETWEEN 89W-102W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N79W TO 09N95W TO 14N112W. MONSOON TROUGH 
RESUMES NEAR 15N118W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG WITHIN 200 NM S OF THE BOUNDARY AND E OF 115W. SCATTERED 
SHOWERS ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH W OF 118W.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.